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Poll finds Boris Johnson ‘has already won’ Tory leadership battle

Poll finds Boris Johnson ‘has already won’ Tory leadership battle

Boris Johnson ‘has already won’ Tory leadership battle with poll finding 77% of activists have now voted – and 72% back him over Jeremy HuntBoris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt have been fighting for keys to Downing StreetConHom poll finds 77 per cent of members have now cast their postal ballotsMr Johnson backed by 72 per…


Boris Johnson ‘has already won’ Tory leadership battle with poll finding 77% of activists have now voted – and 72% back him over Jeremy Hunt

  • Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt have been fighting for keys to Downing Street
  • ConHom poll finds 77 per cent of members have now cast their postal ballots
  • Mr Johnson backed by 72 per cent – suggesting he already has the votes to win 

Boris Johnson has already won the Tory leadership contest, according to a poll today – with three quarters of activists now having cast their votes. 

A survey for the grassroots ConservativeHome website found the overwhelming majority have sent in their postal votes. 

Some 72 per cent also said they had either backed or planned to back Mr Johnson – suggesting he already has an unassailable lead with two weeks to go until the result it announced.

Jeremy Hunt has admitted he is the underdog in the contest to replace Theresa May, but vowed to fight to the end.

He mounted an all-out assault on Mr Johnson in a TV debate earlier this week as he desperate struggles to overhaul his advantage – mocking him for refusing to answer questions and questioning his ‘do or die’ pledge to force Brexit by the end of October.

In the ConHome survey, some 72 per cent also said they had either backed or planned to back Mr Johnson - suggesting he is on track for a landslide victory when the result is announced in two weeks' time

In the ConHome survey, some 72 per cent also said they had either backed or planned to back Mr Johnson – suggesting he is on track for a landslide victory when the result is announced in two weeks’ time

Some 72 per cent of Conservative Home readers said they had either backed or planned to back Mr Johnson (pictured today in Dover) -  suggesting he already has an unassailable lead

Some 72 per cent of Conservative Home readers said they had either backed or planned to back Mr Johnson (pictured today in Dover) –  suggesting he already has an unassailable lead

Mt Hunt joked today that he considered voting for his rival so it 'doesn't look so bad for him'

Mt Hunt joked today that he considered voting for his rival so it ‘doesn’t look so bad for him’

However, the attacks do not seem to be making a significant dent in Mr Johnson’s popularity with members.

An ORB poll for the Telegraph today could give him another boost – as it suggests the Tories could regain 92 per cent of the voters they have lost to Nigel Farage if Brexit happens by the Halloween deadline. 

Tories would regain backing of almost all activists who defected to Farage if Brexit happens by Halloween 

The Tories will regain almost all of their members who defected to support The Brexit Party if the next prime minister sticks to the October 31 deadline for leaving the EU, a new poll suggests. 

The Conservatives were absolutely hammered at the European elections as Tories ditched the party in their droves to back Nigel Farage’s new political vehicle. 

But a new survey shows that Conservative Party members are ready to ditch Mr Farage and return home if the next prime minister delivers Brexit on time. 

However, the poll also acts as a drastic warning to would-be prime ministers Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt as it shows almost half of Tory members will vote for someone else if Brexit is delayed again. 

The poll shows just how important delivering Brexit by the current deadline is for the next leader of the Conservative Party. 

Failure to meet the Halloween divorce date would seemingly have major ramifications for the future electoral viability of the party. 

But the challenge faced by Mr Johnson was underlined last night when Chancellor Philip Hammond signalled he will be a ‘nightmare’ over no-deal Brexit.

Mr Hammond insisted he would use the Commons backbenches to ‘vigorously’ battle any attempt at withdrawing from the EU without a deal.

Asked if he would jump before he was pushed if Mr Johnson takes the Tory crown in two weeks’ time, Mr Hammond told ITV’s Peston: ‘My expectation is that I will not be serving in the next administration.

‘But, I want to say this because I read some stuff in the papers earlier this week about how I would be a nightmare on the backbenches.

‘I will continue to argue vigorously against a no-deal Brexit.

‘And I will certainly do everything I can to prevent a no-deal Brexit without parliamentary approval.’

The pointed comments came after Mr Johnson was put on notice to expect a legal battle with former prime minister Sir John Major if he tries to suspend Parliament in order to force through a no-deal Brexit.

Former Conservative leader Sir John said it would be ‘utterly and totally unacceptable’ for any British premier to shut down Parliament, and he would seek a judicial review if it happened.

Mr Johnson dismissed Sir John’s ‘very odd’ threat of being dragged through the courts, insisting that Parliament should accept its responsibility to deliver Brexit.

But he has refused to rule out proroguing Parliament to prevent MPs blocking a no-deal exit from the European Union on October 31.

Jeremy Hunt (pictured out running in London today) has admitted he is the underdog in the contest to replace Theresa May, but vowed to fight to the end

Jeremy Hunt (pictured out running in London today) has admitted he is the underdog in the contest to replace Theresa May, but vowed to fight to the end

The Tory leadership campaign front runner said: ‘What we are going to do is deliver Brexit on October 31, which is what I think the people of this country want us to get on and do.

Rudd drops No Deal opposition – paving way to serve in Boris Johnson’s Cabinet 

Amber Rudd today appeared to drop her opposition to No Deal Brexit – potentially paving the way to stay in a Boris Johnson Cabinet.

Mr Johnson has insisted if he becomes PM all ministers must be willing to sign up to leaving the bloc by Halloween ‘come what may’. 

Work and Pensions Secretary Ms Rudd, who has been backing Jeremy Hunt for Tory leader, has previously been seen as one of the strongest opponents of No Deal.  

But in an interview with TalkRadio today she said: ‘Both candidates have said that no deal is part of the armory and the negotiations going forward. 

‘And I have accepted that, um, that the situation is that we are leaving by the end of October.

‘But it would be so much better to get a deal.’ 

She added: ‘What we really need is for everybody’s effort to go into trying to get a deal and that as we know, isn’t as straight forward as we would like it to be because the prime minister has tried on several occasions to do that.’ 

‘I think everybody is fed up with delay and I think the idea of now consecrating this decision to the judiciary is really very, very odd indeed.

‘What we want is for Parliament to take their responsibilities, get it done as they promised that they would.

‘They asked the British people whether they wanted to leave in 2016, the British people returned a very clear verdict, so let’s get it done.’

Mr Hammond said: ‘I think there is a group of members of Parliament who feel very, very strongly about this.

‘If anyone were foolish enough to try to prorogue Parliament then I’m sure there will be action in the courts.

‘We would have to challenge it.

‘The idea that elected members of Parliament would be locked out of their place of work because they might do their job is truly shocking.’

Asked if a no-deal Brexit would be similar to the financial crisis of 2008, the Chancellor said: ‘It could be.’

In order to prorogue Parliament, shutting it down until the next state opening, a prime minister would have to ask the Queen to formally allow it.

Although the Queen’s decision could not be challenged, Sir John said the advice of the prime minister could be.

The potential suspension of Parliament was one of the issues on which Mr Johnson and his rival Jeremy Hunt clashed in a televised showdown on Tuesday night.

How will the next few months of political drama play out? 

Friday:Leadership contenders put themselves under the microscope in separate TV interviews with the BBC’s Andrew Neil.

July 22:Ballot closes

July 23:The new Tory leader is announced

July 24:Changeover day. Theresa May takes her last PMQs in Commons, before heading to the Palace to quit.

The new Tory leader will follow her in to be asked to form a government. 

July 25:Probable Cabinet reshuffle. Parliament is also due to rise today, sending MPs away on their summer holidays.

September 3:Parliament is due to return for two weeks, before the party conference season starts.

October 2:Tory conference wraps up with the new leader’s speech.

October 7:Parliament sits again.

October 31:The UK is due to leave the EU.

 

 

 

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Poll finds Boris Johnson ‘has already won’ Tory leadership battle

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